The forced vital capacity of 11-year-old white boys is normally distributed
with variance = 400^2. The average vital capacity of a sample of 19 boys is 2400 cc.
(a) Construct a 95% confidence interval for this population mean.
(b) Give the precision of this interval.
(c) State the probabilistic interpretation of the result.
Statistics Confidence Intervals?
The formula for a t-based confidence interval for the mean is:
xbar + - tcrit (sd)/sqrt(n)
where
xbar = sample mean
tcrit = the critical value from the t-distribution
sd = the standard deviation
n = sample size
In your case we have n= 19 so we have 18 degrees of freedom and the critical t-value (obtained from a table or calculator) is 2.101. Thus we have
a)
CI = 2400 +- (2.101)(400)/sqrt(19)
CI = (2207.2, 2592.8) approximately
b)
One estimate of precision is half the width of the confidence interval: 192.8 approximately.
c)
If we were repeatedly to take samples of 19 boys and calculate the mean of their vital capacities, 95% of the time the mean we calculated would fall within the limits of the confidence interval we just constructed.
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